About this

Writings so far

7.12.2017

- Ke Jie is playing perfectly at the moment: Automated reasoning and risk/performance assessment

And the full statement was "Incredible. According to #AlphaGo evaluations Ke Jie is playing perfectly at the moment." By Demis Hassabis, @demishassabis, founder & CEO of DeepMind.

And per Wikipedia, Ke Jie is a "Chinese professional Go player of 9 dan rank. As of 2 June 2017, he is currently ranked number one in the world .... He continuously held the world No. 1 ranking for two years from late 2014 to late 2016.  In early January 2017, Ke Jie unofficially played "Master", an updated version of AlphaGo online, losing all three games."

So we've got AlphaGo, i.e DeepMind playing or optimized for Go, also passing judgement on opponents and human performance at any given time, based on awareness of others. At least their score against some benchmark or predefined structure.

This could imply some sort of self awareness, at least awareness of others and how they are performing, but most likely AlphaGo was rating opponent based on statistical assessment and rating of Go moves available to Ke Jie.

Still the self-awareness angle or probability remains close and interesting, and it's easy to foresee a not to distant future when a cognitive bot or automated reasoning entity of sorts will rate any ones daily/hourly work or sports performance, your homework or semester paper, driving ability or health against a personal, social or company KPI. Or inside a Gauss-scale or a Myers–Briggs Type Indicator scale.

AI entities with some kind of self awareness (or on the hunt for self awareness, memories or self) are very much the key plot of many sci-fi books and movies, including the Aliens series, Bladerunner and 2001: A Space Odyssey.

Moder in Aliens: Covenant certainly could use a healthy dose of assertive self and automated reasoning to avoid human disasters and bio-hazards high and low.  Moder "defects" include, and the time is year 2100 no less in Covenant, little or no predictive reasoning, no risk assessment capability, no android or IoT tracking, no bio-hazard analysis entering new planets and allowing people or bio samples on-board without any bio scanning. And why not deploy a drone or 2 to check out the environment?
Strangely, the androids in the Aliens series are much more astute and self-aware, human-like, than the rather standard sci-fi fare cognitive capabilities that Moder steering the spaceships brings along, but I suspect that is plot malfunction or not working this side of the plot through thoroughly.

Replicants in Bladerunner were looking for inception date determining their life span and, in the end, what their pictures and memories from childhood were - implanted or real?  They had self-awareness and insight in spades, but if memories were RAM implants only, the stories they told about themselves were fake and their self-awareness were imaginations, RAM patterns.

HAL 9000 in 2001: A Space Odyssey had too much self-awareness and ability to judge others and himself, ultimately leading to his own shut-down when conflicting knowledge about crew plans (shutting him down), reasoning and mission orders led to premature jettisoning of humans from spacecraft. The crew in the 2001 movie might have "been playing perfectly at the moment" in the execution of their mission, but HAL had other benchmarks to judge their performance against, i.e. checking out that black monolith on Saturn if I remember correctly.

That's movies.  If one goes back to RenĂ© Descartes, the self awareness baseline and starting point will be his "Cogito ergo sum" proposition, typically translated into English as "I think, therefore I am".  Self awareness and reasoning about oneself results from ability to formulate ideas, having cognitive processes, testing and observing those processes over and over again to reach "probabilities" for the outcome of a initiated process.

Current "mechanic" or pre-structured machine learning against a bound data set, big or small, not there yet for self-awareness, ad lib reasoning and  assessments, but future automated reasoning surely will expand on these capabilities.

When machine learning systems goes to deep learning and then reaches stage of autonomous and automated reasoning, these systems will probably one day have their cogito ergo sum moment also, but with structures and thought patterns strangely different (or much more logical) than humans.
Rating of and education for human performance will be based on non-human parameters.
And that brings us back to Ke Jie again and his great summary following his +20 Go wins since the AlphaGo match, please see here.


Erik Jensen
12.7.2017